The 6 Sets of Numbers That Will Decide Election 2012

After a campaign of unprecedented expense and duration, the third presidential contest in the past four to divide America almost exactly in half is now almost in the hands of the voters.

With polls showing President Obama holding a small lead over Mitt Romney in key battleground states, but locked in a virtual dead-heat nationally, heres a look at the factors that could decide who gets the 271 Electoral College votes needed to win the race for the White House on Nov. 6.

What Is the Minority Share of the Vote?

Key Number: 26% or more

Obama is likely to win about twice as large a proportion of the non-white as the white vote. How many whites and non-whites vote is therefore…
Continue reading...

More About: 2012 presidential campaign, electoral college, electoral maps