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January 7, 2014 01:10 pm GMT

Gartner: 2.5B PCs, Tablets And Mobiles Will Be Shipped In 2014, 1.1B Of Them On Android

dodobirdAs the worlds of communication and technology increasingly become mobile-first, the traditional desktop PC continues to go the way of the dodo bird. The analysts at Gartner are today publishing their annual devices forecast, and they project 2014 to be another banner year for mobile — and its biggest player, Android. There will be 2.5 billion PCs, tablets and mobile handsets shipped this year. Of those, 1.9 billion will be mobile handsets, and 1.1 billion devices will be Android-based. That represents an overall rise of 7.6% over 2013, with all of the growth coming from mobile devices like handsets, tablets and “ultramobiles” (Gartner’s preferred term for those devices like Samsung’s Galaxy Note that are not-quite-tablets). Desktop and notebook PCs will decline to 278 million units, Gartner says. Generally speaking, this is a big improvement over 2013, a year that saw only 3.8% growth. To give some context of Android’s rise — and of what role “mobile” plays in the device landscape — Google’s OS in 2014 will account for nearly 45% of all device shipments. In 2013, it was 38%. In 2015, Gartner projects it will be nearly 48%. The tipping point is nigh, and if you’ve ever wanted proof of how Google is today’s Microsoft, this is one starting point. The same kind of domination is being played out in terms of the installed base. Among existing device owners,Android clocked 1.9 billion devices in use in 2014, while Apple had 682 million across both iOS and Mac, according to principal analyst Annette Zimmerman. Looking at the installed base is important for a number of reasons: it indicates which device makers and platforms have the most dominant ecosystems. And this, in turn, will have a knock-on effect not only in terms of where developers will put their resources, but also where consumers making repeat purchases are likely to put their money. Returning customers and brand/platform loyalty become ever more essential in saturated markets. Gartner does not break out specific manufacturers, but Ranjit Atwal, a research director at Gartner, confirmed to me what you may have already guessed: just as Android dominates mobile, Samsung dominates Android. That could, he believes, lead the company closer to developing its own, customized operating system, similar to what Amazon has done with its Fire OS. (Indeed, Samsung’s recent developer’s conference, with new SDKs for its different range of devices, seems to point in this direction,

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