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October 31, 2012 05:49 pm PDT
Original Link: http://feeds.boingboing.net/~r/boingboing/iBag/~3/ELS6zyAAV7A/what-nate-silver-is-actually-t.html
What Nate Silver is actually telling you about the election
The election is next week. And, with that in mind, Salon's Paul Campos has posted a helpful reminder explaining what the statistics at the fivethirtyeight blog actually mean (and what they don't). In particular, you have to remember that, while Nate Silver gives President Obama a 77.4 percent chance of winning the presidential election, that's [...]Original Link: http://feeds.boingboing.net/~r/boingboing/iBag/~3/ELS6zyAAV7A/what-nate-silver-is-actually-t.html
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