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January 10, 2012 08:58 pm GMT

Do We Need Doctors Or Algorithms?

HealthTechI was asked about a year ago at a talk about energy what I was doing about the other large social problems, namely health care and education. Surprised, I flippantly responded that the best solution was to get rid of doctors and teachers and let your computers do the work, 24/7 and with consistent quality.Later, I got to cogitating about what I had said and why, and how embarrassingly wrong that might be. But the more I think about it the more I feel my gut reaction was probably right. The beginnings of Doctor Algorithm or Dr. A for short, most likely (and that does not mean certainly or maybe) will be much criticized. Well see all sorts of press wisdom decrying they dont work or look at all the silly things they come up with. But Dr A. will get better and better and will go from providing bionic assistance to second opinions to assisting doctors to providing first opinions and as referral computers (with complete and accurate synopses and all possible hypotheses of the hardest cases) to the best 20% of the human breed doctors. And who knows what will happen beyond that?

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